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Webinar: ‘How many more Ukrainians could flee if Russia wins the war? Scenarios of war and forced migration’

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has precipitated a significant displacement crisis, resulting in millions of Ukrainians and hundreds of thousands foreign residents and immigrants fleeing the country. As of early 2024, up to 10.8 mio persons remain displaced within and outside Ukraine. The potential for further displacement looms large if Russia gains more ground or if Ukraine loses the fight for its sovereignty.

In the upcoming webinar ‘How many more Ukrainians could flee if Russia wins the war? Scenarios of war and forced migration’, taking place on Thursday, 23 May 2024 at 10:30 CET, Dr Franck Düvell will present the latest Prague Process Policy brief on forced migration from Ukraine. He will outline four potential war scenarios, each accompanied by corresponding forced migration flows, with the number of displaced individuals reaching up to 19 mio under the most severe scenario. These forecasts are based on a methodology, which demonstrated a high degree of accuracy in predicting the number of forcibly displaced in early 2022.

How to participate:

Please register to the event through the link: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_h5qQASL2SgC7z3zX7NVSFw#/registration . Once your registration is approved, you will receive the link to the virtual room. Should you not receive the confirmation email with the link, please contact the Prague Process Secretariat at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. .

The Webinar will be held in English with simultaneous interpretation into Russian. The approximate duration is 1,5 hours, including the Q&A session. Kindly submit your questions in English or Russian during the event through the chat. The event is carried out via Zoom and can be accessed directly through your browser, following the link received.